Automotive Safety Publication

Missing the road for the trees

This updated Tesla safety report extends the legacy paper into a cinematic investigation built from cached NHTSA warehouse data. The focus is narrower and more concrete: where complaint narratives, recalls, investigations, and outside crash reporting converge on roadway departures, tree impacts, pole strikes, fire, and restraint-system concerns. Alshival.Ai's research suggests that Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology can sometimes lock onto fixed objects like trees and poles and drive straight toward them. This is the kind of situation lidar sensors are meant to mediate, which is why other manufacturers have included them in their autonomous stacks.

Legacy paper Data source Cache status unavailable Coverage unavailable
Tesla complaints mentioning trees
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Real warehouse narratives containing tree-impact language.
Tree complaints mentioning FSD or Autopilot
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Complaint text that explicitly ties tree impacts to driver-assist context.
Peak month during rollout window
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Highest complaint month in the Oct 2021 to May 2022 FSD rollout frame.
Peak count during rollout window
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Raw complaint intake in Tesla's peak rollout month.
Tesla recalls in cache coverage
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Recall records are shown alongside complaints to separate field reports from formal remedies.
Tesla investigations in cache coverage
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Investigation open dates help show where complaint signals escalated into deeper ODI review.
Act I

External media evidence and narrative overlap #

These are relevant news articles about crashes covered by this investigation.

Narrative overlap themes #

Complaint text remains allegation data, while the cited articles are external context. The point of combining them is repeated pattern visibility, not treating publisher coverage as proof of root cause.

Act II

The rollout curve and why October 2021 still matters #

This section uses month-over-month change as a first-derivative view of complaint volume, showing where the curve changes fastest across key FSD rollout and regulatory milestones.

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Q1 2022 forward-collision-avoidance complaints for Tesla, compared against only - in the same quarter one year earlier.
Comparison cohort
Metric
Timeline
Rollout focus
Before expansion, month-to-month movement stays comparatively quiet

October 20, 2020
Before expansion, month-to-month movement stays comparatively quiet

The default month-over-month view works like a first derivative of complaint volume: it emphasizes where the curve changes fastest. Before expansion, that derivative stays comparatively quiet.

October 8, 2021
The October 2021 expansion begins a sharper change pattern

After access broadened, the line starts moving more sharply month to month. That does not prove causation by itself, but it marks where complaint velocity separates from the flatter pre-expansion baseline.

January to March 2022
Q1 2022 produces the largest Tesla rate-of-change swing

Forward-collision, braking, and speed-control language clusters in this window. The first-derivative view locates the sharpest upward and downward moves around the raw-count peak: February and March 2022 form the clearest Tesla shock.

November 24, 2022
Broader access is followed by continued volatility

In the month-over-month view, the late-2022 period is not a smooth return to baseline. The rate of change remains volatile, with abrupt swings that keep the complaint pattern unstable after the first spike.

October 18, 2024
Later regulatory activity follows a volatile complaint tail

The post-spike period does not collapse into a simple flat line. Later complaint movement and ODI activity keep the driver-assist safety question alive beyond the initial expansion window.

Today
The full horizon shows the spike and later aftershocks

The full range shows the early 2022 break as one event inside a longer first-derivative pattern. Later months matter because volatility and safety-related component language continue to recur.

Act III

Trees: persistent impact patterns in the warehouse #

The warehouse shows a multi-year tree-impact pattern: a 2022 crest, a 2025 resurgence, heavy Model 3 concentration, and repeated overlap with forward-collision, speed-control, steering, airbag, and fire language.

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of the tree-impact complaints in cache also mention FSD, Autopilot, supervision, cruise control, or similar driver-assist language.
Yearly tree signals
Model concentration
Component concentration
Recent tree-linked cases
EV-peer context

These are raw complaint counts, not fleet-normalized exposure rates. The comparison is most useful as an EV-peer framing device, not as a cross-industry market-share proxy.

Tree case spotlight
Featured tree case

ODI

Act IV

Poles: a smaller pattern with notable assist overlap #

Pole and post strikes are lower-volume than the tree cases, but the warehouse still shows a meaningful adjacent pattern. Model 3 leads raw pole mentions, while Model Y carries the largest assist-overlap subset, and the 2025 increase arrives after the first rollout-era complaint surge. Alshival.Ai's research thesis is that some of these runs read like object-fixation failures, where the system may become confused by a pole and drive toward it rather than away from it.

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of the pole-impact complaints in cache also mention FSD, Autopilot, supervision, cruise control, or similar driver-assist language.
Yearly pole signals
Model concentration
Component concentration
Recent pole-linked cases
EV-peer context

Pole, post, curb, and fixed-object narratives overlap in plain-language complaints. This section keeps the category narrower than the tree section, but it still reflects user-submitted allegation text rather than a regulator finding.

Pole case spotlight
Featured pole case

ODI

Pole crash reporting #
Pole-impact video evidence #
Act V

Buildings: wall and structure impacts in complaint narratives #

The warehouse also contains building- and wall-impact complaints, including parking-garage walls, restaurant walls, barrier walls, and other structure-strike narratives. This section tracks how often those complaints overlap with driver-assist, injury, airbag, and fire language.

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of the building- or wall-impact complaints in cache also mention FSD, Autopilot, supervision, cruise control, or similar driver-assist language.
Yearly building signals
Model concentration
Component concentration
Recent building-linked cases
EV-peer context

These counts focus on complaints that describe impacts with walls or building-like structures. They remain raw complaint counts, not fleet-normalized crash rates or adjudicated findings.

Building case spotlight
Featured building case

ODI

Building and wall crash reporting #
Building-impact video evidence #
Act VI

Context: complaint composition, recalls, and investigations #

Tree cases are only one slice of the story. The surrounding context still matters: which complaint components dominated in Q1 2022, how recall activity moved, and where investigation openings line up with or diverge from the complaint pattern.

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Tesla complaints in total cache coverage, with recalls and investigations shown below as separate but related safety signals.
Q1 component mix
Observation

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Q1 component trend by year
Observation

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Recall timeline
Observation

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Investigation timeline
Observation

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Methods

Methodology, limits, and source notes #

The strongest reading of this report is not that every crash narrative proves an FSD defect. It is that the combined complaint, recall, investigation, and media record is strong enough to justify more detailed case review than Tesla's own summary statistics permit on their own. Throughout this report, Alshival.Ai stresses one recurring hypothesis rather than a final adjudicated finding: in some tree and pole cases, the vehicles appear to lock onto fixed objects and drive straight into them.

36h
Cache freshness threshold used by the publication view when deciding whether the local warehouse snapshot is stale.
Cross-dataset alignment
Observation

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Method notes
    Additional video evidence #
    Recent reports

    Recent reports #

    Fresh external reporting that extends the live media record immediately before the raw-complaint explorer and the hidden appendix material below.

    3
    newly featured media reports in this appendix area.
    Tesla 'Full Self-Driving' crashed through railroad gate seconds before train
    Electrek · Apr 15, 2026

    Tesla 'Full Self-Driving' crashed through railroad gate seconds before train

    Electrek reporting on a Texas owner who said Tesla FSD drove through a lowered railroad crossing arm, forcing him to accelerate to avoid an oncoming train.

    Open source
    Auto Pilot Error Cited In Tesla Crash On I-84 In Union
    Patch · Apr 13, 2026

    Auto Pilot Error Cited In Tesla Crash On I-84 In Union

    Local crash coverage citing a Connecticut state police report that said a Tesla in "auto self-drive mode" spontaneously veered into the median near Exit 73.

    Open source
    My Tesla Was Driving Itself Perfectly-Until It Crashed
    The Atlantic · Mar 17, 2026

    My Tesla Was Driving Itself Perfectly-Until It Crashed

    Raffi Krikorian's first-person account of a crash while using Tesla Full Self-Driving, framed around the risk of almost-perfect automation training people to overtrust the system.

    Open source
    Appendix

    Hazard case explorer #

    This table expands beyond the curated case files above. It includes every Tesla complaint in the current cache tagged for trees, poles, buildings, or combinations of those hazards, with filterable date ranges, detected fatal or injury signals, and linked monthly trends.

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    matching Tesla complaints under the current explorer filters.
    Search can use ODI numbers, models, components, or complaint narrative phrasing.
    Signal toggles
    Notes

    Fatal and injury columns are text-detection signals from complaint narratives, not confirmed case counts.

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    Cases
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    Fatality signal
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    Injury signal
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    Assist signal
    Trees, poles, and buildings vs total complaints
    Table behavior
    Click any row to inspect the ODI case

    The explorer reuses the same modal as the curated case sections above, so every row can open a detailed complaint view.

    Filters drive both chart and table

    The chart shows tree, pole, and building filings against total Tesla complaints. In All Complaints mode, the table widens to the full Tesla ODI complaint set.

    ODI complaint explorer
    Incident date ODI Hazard Model Components Fatal Injury Assist Summary
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